Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 40% implied probability for the Spanish Grand Prix win, driven by his 2026 championship lead with six victories in 11 races and Mercedes' consistent pace advantage under new regulations. The Barcelona-Catalunya layout has historically rewarded strong qualifying and tire management, areas where Antonelli and teammate George Russell have excelled in recent rounds. Lewis Hamilton's 30% pricing reflects his Ferrari adaptation and prior success at the track, while Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen sit close behind amid competitive midfield and front-running form. Recent results show Mercedes extracting maximum performance from upgrades, tightening the title fight without clear dominance by any single squad entering the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexander Albon 45%
Valtteri Bottas 45%
Carlos Sainz Jr. 44%
Liam Lawson 42%
Alexander Albon
45%
Valtteri Bottas
45%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
44%
Liam Lawson
42%
Kimi Antonelli
40%
Oliver Bearman
38%
Lance Stroll
38%
Sergio Perez
34%
Pierre Gasly
32%
Charles Leclerc
29%
Fernando Alonso
29%
Gabriel Bortoleto
29%
Esteban Ocon
29%
Franco Colapinto
29%
Nico Hulkenberg
29%
Arvid Lindblad
29%
Lando Norris
29%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Max Verstappen
27%
Oscar Piastri
25%
George Russell
24%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Alexander Albon 45%
Valtteri Bottas 45%
Carlos Sainz Jr. 44%
Liam Lawson 42%
Alexander Albon
45%
Valtteri Bottas
45%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
44%
Liam Lawson
42%
Kimi Antonelli
40%
Oliver Bearman
38%
Lance Stroll
38%
Sergio Perez
34%
Pierre Gasly
32%
Charles Leclerc
29%
Fernando Alonso
29%
Gabriel Bortoleto
29%
Esteban Ocon
29%
Franco Colapinto
29%
Nico Hulkenberg
29%
Arvid Lindblad
29%
Lando Norris
29%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Max Verstappen
27%
Oscar Piastri
25%
George Russell
24%
Isack Hadjar
14%
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 40% implied probability for the Spanish Grand Prix win, driven by his 2026 championship lead with six victories in 11 races and Mercedes' consistent pace advantage under new regulations. The Barcelona-Catalunya layout has historically rewarded strong qualifying and tire management, areas where Antonelli and teammate George Russell have excelled in recent rounds. Lewis Hamilton's 30% pricing reflects his Ferrari adaptation and prior success at the track, while Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen sit close behind amid competitive midfield and front-running form. Recent results show Mercedes extracting maximum performance from upgrades, tightening the title fight without clear dominance by any single squad entering the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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