Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
<0.1 99.6%
0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$1,983 Wol.
$1,983 Wol.
<0.1
Yes
0.1
No
>0.1
No
<0.1 99.6%
0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$1,983 Wol.
$1,983 Wol.
<0.1
Yes
0.1
No
>0.1
No
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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