Skip to main content
icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,875 Wol.

Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$21,875 Wol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Wol.

73%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Wol.

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Wol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Wol.

11%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Wol.

15%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Wol.

13%

Jean Castex

$64 Wol.

29%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Wol.

35%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Wol.

34%

François Bayrou

$486 Wol.

11%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Wol.

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Wol.

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Wol.

50%

François Hollande

$132 Wol.

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Wol.

67%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Wol.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Wol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Wol.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$25 Wol.

72%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Wol.

22%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$21,875
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$21,875
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Gabriel Attal" z 100%, za nim "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 99%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" wygenerował $21.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" jest "Gabriel Attal" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 99%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.