Forecast models from European and global agencies indicate a stable southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands on September 6, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near the long-term average high of 20.2 °C at Schiphol. Current consensus centers on 21–23 °C, with 22 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability due to consistent ensemble runs showing limited diurnal warming under moderate winds and no strong frontal passages. Historical data place September 6 extremes between 13.7 °C and 29.4 °C, but recent observations of cooling after early-September warmth and neutral ENSO conditions reinforce the narrow range around the mean. Updated model guidance later today could shift odds if cloud cover or wind shifts alter peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 54%
23°C 24%
21°C 19%
20°C 5%
$20,171 Wol.
$20,171 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
54%
23°C
24%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 54%
23°C 24%
21°C 19%
20°C 5%
$20,171 Wol.
$20,171 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
54%
23°C
24%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European and global agencies indicate a stable southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions over the Netherlands on September 6, 2026, supporting a daily maximum near the long-term average high of 20.2 °C at Schiphol. Current consensus centers on 21–23 °C, with 22 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability due to consistent ensemble runs showing limited diurnal warming under moderate winds and no strong frontal passages. Historical data place September 6 extremes between 13.7 °C and 29.4 °C, but recent observations of cooling after early-September warmth and neutral ENSO conditions reinforce the narrow range around the mean. Updated model guidance later today could shift odds if cloud cover or wind shifts alter peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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