Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a daily high of 103–104°F for August 26, aligning with the near-even market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover under a strong ridge are expected to support peak temperatures in the early-to-mid afternoon, with light winds limiting mixing. Official guidance shows only minor site-to-site differences between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, while ensemble models indicate low precipitation chances and dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that keep heat indices elevated but do not alter the maximum. Any late-day convective development or small forecast adjustments could tip the final reading between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 26?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 26?
102-103°F 46%
104-105°F 44%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
46%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 46%
104-105°F 44%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
$310 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$260 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$295 Wol.
2%
100-101°F
$263 Wol.
6%
102-103°F
$211 Wol.
46%
104-105°F
$267 Wol.
44%
106-107°F
$170 Wol.
8%
108-109°F
$47 Wol.
2%
110-111°F
$95 Wol.
<1%
112-113°F
$280 Wol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$365 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a daily high of 103–104°F for August 26, aligning with the near-even market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover under a strong ridge are expected to support peak temperatures in the early-to-mid afternoon, with light winds limiting mixing. Official guidance shows only minor site-to-site differences between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, while ensemble models indicate low precipitation chances and dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that keep heat indices elevated but do not alter the maximum. Any late-day convective development or small forecast adjustments could tip the final reading between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,563Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a daily high of 103–104°F for August 26, aligning with the near-even market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover under a strong ridge are expected to support peak temperatures in the early-to-mid afternoon, with light winds limiting mixing. Official guidance shows only minor site-to-site differences between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, while ensemble models indicate low precipitation chances and dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that keep heat indices elevated but do not alter the maximum. Any late-day convective development or small forecast adjustments could tip the final reading between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,563Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a daily high of 103–104°F for August 26, aligning with the near-even market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Persistent southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover under a strong ridge are expected to support peak temperatures in the early-to-mid afternoon, with light winds limiting mixing. Official guidance shows only minor site-to-site differences between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, while ensemble models indicate low precipitation chances and dew points in the low-to-mid 60s that keep heat indices elevated but do not alter the maximum. Any late-day convective development or small forecast adjustments could tip the final reading between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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