Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and local analyses shows a frontal passage bringing westerly winds and increased cloud cover with showers to Buenos Aires on September 3, suppressing daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 2nd. This setup advects cooler air while limiting insolation, producing forecast highs clustered around 16–18°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 19°C (39%) and 20°C (33.5%) leads, likely incorporates slight upward model bias or variability in precipitation timing that could allow brief clearing and marginally higher peaks. Resolution hinges on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional maximum, with remaining uncertainty tied to exact wind speeds and cloud persistence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
19°C 40%
20°C 34%
18°C 17%
21°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
17%
19°C
40%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 40%
20°C 34%
18°C 17%
21°C 6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
17%
19°C
40%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and local analyses shows a frontal passage bringing westerly winds and increased cloud cover with showers to Buenos Aires on September 3, suppressing daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 2nd. This setup advects cooler air while limiting insolation, producing forecast highs clustered around 16–18°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the tight 19°C (39%) and 20°C (33.5%) leads, likely incorporates slight upward model bias or variability in precipitation timing that could allow brief clearing and marginally higher peaks. Resolution hinges on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional maximum, with remaining uncertainty tied to exact wind speeds and cloud persistence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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