Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, with multiple consecutive days of highs in the high 30s including a 39°C reading in Busan on August 1, are driving trader sentiment toward 35°C as the most probable daily maximum for August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and regional model runs point to peak temperatures near this threshold under clear skies and light winds, with coastal influences in Busan limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. The 36°C outcome retains meaningful probability given heatwave persistence and potential for localized warming, while higher thresholds remain low-probability absent unexpected model shifts. Updated KMA short-range guidance and afternoon observations will provide key resolution data as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 5?
35°C 73%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.0%
38°C <1%
$30,333 Wol.
$30,333 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
73%
36°C
21%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 73%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.0%
38°C <1%
$30,333 Wol.
$30,333 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$631 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$764 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,841 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$5,746 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$6,898 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$3,202 Wol.
73%
36°C
$4,260 Wol.
21%
37°C
$2,787 Wol.
2%
38°C
$2,832 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$710 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$662 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, with multiple consecutive days of highs in the high 30s including a 39°C reading in Busan on August 1, are driving trader sentiment toward 35°C as the most probable daily maximum for August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and regional model runs point to peak temperatures near this threshold under clear skies and light winds, with coastal influences in Busan limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. The 36°C outcome retains meaningful probability given heatwave persistence and potential for localized warming, while higher thresholds remain low-probability absent unexpected model shifts. Updated KMA short-range guidance and afternoon observations will provide key resolution data as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,333Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, with multiple consecutive days of highs in the high 30s including a 39°C reading in Busan on August 1, are driving trader sentiment toward 35°C as the most probable daily maximum for August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and regional model runs point to peak temperatures near this threshold under clear skies and light winds, with coastal influences in Busan limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. The 36°C outcome retains meaningful probability given heatwave persistence and potential for localized warming, while higher thresholds remain low-probability absent unexpected model shifts. Updated KMA short-range guidance and afternoon observations will provide key resolution data as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30,333Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, with multiple consecutive days of highs in the high 30s including a 39°C reading in Busan on August 1, are driving trader sentiment toward 35°C as the most probable daily maximum for August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and regional model runs point to peak temperatures near this threshold under clear skies and light winds, with coastal influences in Busan limiting further intensification compared to inland areas. The 36°C outcome retains meaningful probability given heatwave persistence and potential for localized warming, while higher thresholds remain low-probability absent unexpected model shifts. Updated KMA short-range guidance and afternoon observations will provide key resolution data as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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