Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu place the June 29 high near 28–30 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. The dominant controls are the early East Asian monsoon transition, high regional humidity in the Sichuan Basin, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers or thundershowers that reduce insolation. Persistent overcast or convective rain tends to cap readings near 27–28 °C, while partial clearing under light northeasterly flow allows greater daytime heating toward 29–31 °C. Model spreads remain narrow given the absence of a strong subtropical ridge, aligning with historical June climatology of 28–31 °C averages. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 29?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 29?
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$17,326 Wol.
NOWE
$17,326 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 25%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$17,326 Wol.
NOWE
$17,326 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
25°C or below
$1,118 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,598 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,968 Wol.
1%
28°C
$2,018 Wol.
4%
29°C
$2,348 Wol.
9%
30°C
$1,924 Wol.
26%
31°C
$1,611 Wol.
33%
32°C
$1,801 Wol.
25%
33°C
$1,051 Wol.
6%
34°C
$547 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$342 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu place the June 29 high near 28–30 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. The dominant controls are the early East Asian monsoon transition, high regional humidity in the Sichuan Basin, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers or thundershowers that reduce insolation. Persistent overcast or convective rain tends to cap readings near 27–28 °C, while partial clearing under light northeasterly flow allows greater daytime heating toward 29–31 °C. Model spreads remain narrow given the absence of a strong subtropical ridge, aligning with historical June climatology of 28–31 °C averages. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,326Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu place the June 29 high near 28–30 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. The dominant controls are the early East Asian monsoon transition, high regional humidity in the Sichuan Basin, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers or thundershowers that reduce insolation. Persistent overcast or convective rain tends to cap readings near 27–28 °C, while partial clearing under light northeasterly flow allows greater daytime heating toward 29–31 °C. Model spreads remain narrow given the absence of a strong subtropical ridge, aligning with historical June climatology of 28–31 °C averages. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,326Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu place the June 29 high near 28–30 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. The dominant controls are the early East Asian monsoon transition, high regional humidity in the Sichuan Basin, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers or thundershowers that reduce insolation. Persistent overcast or convective rain tends to cap readings near 27–28 °C, while partial clearing under light northeasterly flow allows greater daytime heating toward 29–31 °C. Model spreads remain narrow given the absence of a strong subtropical ridge, aligning with historical June climatology of 28–31 °C averages. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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