**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak. Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 28?
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
NOWE
$39,681 Wol.
NOWE
$39,681 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
40%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 10%
NOWE
$39,681 Wol.
NOWE
$39,681 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
27°C or below
$2,700 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$3,495 Wol.
3%
29°C
$6,199 Wol.
10%
30°C
$2,666 Wol.
24%
31°C
$5,707 Wol.
40%
32°C
$2,966 Wol.
18%
33°C
$6,735 Wol.
4%
34°C
$2,480 Wol.
1%
35°C
$1,107 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$3,493 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,132 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak.
Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,681Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak.
Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39,681Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak. Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania