Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 25°C in Chengdu on October 14, driven by numerical weather prediction models showing partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds under 10 km/h, and humidity near 70% that limit further warming in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with mid-October climatology, where highs typically range 22–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% reflects convergence across model runs with minimal spread, though an unexpected increase in afternoon convection or measurement at a specific urban station could realistically shift the recorded peak by 1°C.