Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on July 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 17?
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 17, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
2%
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 18%
96-97°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 17, 2026
81°F or below
$105 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$110 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
4%
88-89°F
$11 Wol.
7%
90-91°F
$4 Wol.
18%
92-93°F
$93 Wol.
53%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
28%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
8%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
7%
100°F or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$333Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$333Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Houston on July 17 points to a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and moderate humidity, keeping the 92–93 °F bin as the clear market favorite at 54.5 %. Recent upstream ridging and a weak trough passage have suppressed stronger heat advection, trimming the probability of 94–95 °F to 26 % while limiting downside risk below 90 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with only small adjustments expected from the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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