Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 30?
36°C 26%
37°C 23%
35°C 22.8%
34°C 8.6%
$11,534 Wol.
$11,534 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
9%
35°C
23%
36°C
26%
37°C
23%
38°C or higher
6%
36°C 26%
37°C 23%
35°C 22.8%
34°C 8.6%
$11,534 Wol.
$11,534 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
9%
35°C
23%
36°C
26%
37°C
23%
38°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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