PAGASA's latest outlooks, showing a forecast high of 33°C for Manila on July 29 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Variable convective activity and cloud cover associated with the Habagat can suppress peak insolation and trigger localized cooling from showers, creating uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet short-term model spread in rainfall timing and intensity differentiates the closely matched outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on July 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 29?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
33°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
26%
33°C
19%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
3%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
33°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 29, 2026
27°C or below
$42 Wol.
4%
28°C
$32 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
14%
30°C
$29 Wol.
26%
31°C
$0 Wol.
29%
32°C
$0 Wol.
26%
33°C
$0 Wol.
19%
34°C
$0 Wol.
8%
35°C
$39 Wol.
2%
36°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$15 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlooks, showing a forecast high of 33°C for Manila on July 29 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Variable convective activity and cloud cover associated with the Habagat can suppress peak insolation and trigger localized cooling from showers, creating uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet short-term model spread in rainfall timing and intensity differentiates the closely matched outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$161Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlooks, showing a forecast high of 33°C for Manila on July 29 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Variable convective activity and cloud cover associated with the Habagat can suppress peak insolation and trigger localized cooling from showers, creating uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet short-term model spread in rainfall timing and intensity differentiates the closely matched outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$161Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 4:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest outlooks, showing a forecast high of 33°C for Manila on July 29 amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Variable convective activity and cloud cover associated with the Habagat can suppress peak insolation and trigger localized cooling from showers, creating uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet short-term model spread in rainfall timing and intensity differentiates the closely matched outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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