Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on July 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 29?
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,060 Wol.
$55,060 Wol.
Jul 29, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,060 Wol.
$55,060 Wol.
Jul 29, 2026
85°F or below
$1,606 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$900 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,419 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$10,178 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$17,059 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$9,267 Wol.
100%
96-97°F
$6,429 Wol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,994 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,573 Wol.
<1%
102-103°F
$634 Wol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$1 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$55,060Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55,060Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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