Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime maximum of 14–16°C in Moscow on September 29 under an anticyclone, with variable cloudiness, no precipitation, southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and high pressure near 761–764 mmHg. Multiple model runs and hourly projections converge on 15°C as the peak, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 13.4°C, consistent with observed trends under stable high-pressure steering. Market-implied odds at 100% for 15°C reflect this strong consensus from real-time observational data and model agreement. A sudden increase in cloud cover, northerly wind shift, or localized measurement variation at the official station could still alter the recorded maximum.
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