Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on June 28?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 28?
33°C 50%
34°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 5.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 28, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
50%
34°C
26%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
34°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 5.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 28, 2026
28°C or below
$549 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$407 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$276 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$528 Wol.
3%
32°C
$694 Wol.
21%
33°C
$748 Wol.
50%
34°C
$705 Wol.
26%
35°C
$1,202 Wol.
6%
36°C
$336 Wol.
1%
37°C
$566 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$815 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,820Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,820Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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