**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on June 29?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 29?
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
NOWE
$10,166 Wol.
NOWE
$10,166 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
37%
34°C
36%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 36%
32°C 19%
35°C 9%
NOWE
$10,166 Wol.
NOWE
$10,166 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
28°C or below
$88 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$194 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$165 Wol.
1%
31°C
$182 Wol.
3%
32°C
$384 Wol.
19%
33°C
$652 Wol.
37%
34°C
$266 Wol.
36%
35°C
$878 Wol.
9%
36°C
$217 Wol.
1%
37°C
$2,381 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,759 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C.
Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,166Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C.
Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,166Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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