Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 21?
23°C 44%
24°C 36%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$61,859 Wol.
NOWE
$61,859 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
44%
24°C
36%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 36%
22°C 11%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$61,859 Wol.
NOWE
$61,859 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$8,711 Wol.
1%
21°C
$6,462 Wol.
1%
22°C
$4,261 Wol.
11%
23°C
$10,363 Wol.
44%
24°C
$5,285 Wol.
36%
25°C
$6,141 Wol.
10%
26°C
$7,461 Wol.
2%
27°C
$3,475 Wol.
1%
28°C
$2,640 Wol.
1%
29°C
$4,796 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,263 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,859Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$61,859Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to partly cloudy skies with scattered light showers and moderate westerly winds over Paris on August 21, limiting daytime solar insolation and convective heating. These conditions cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 23–24 °C, with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes reflecting minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Surface observations show overnight lows around 14 °C and dew points near 15 °C, which, combined with reduced net radiation under overcast periods, suppress the diurnal range and keep peak readings from exceeding 25 °C. Traders therefore assign highest implied probability to 23 °C (43.5 %), viewing any late-day clearing as the key variable that could shift the daily high one degree higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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