A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 15–17°C maximum in São Paulo on September 6, with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. Southerly flow behind the front is advecting cooler, moist air that increases cloud cover and precipitation, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping surface temperatures well below early-September climatological averages near 22–24°C. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble model runs show highs clustered in the 13–16°C range under persistent overcast and rain, though minor differences in frontal timing or residual mixing could push the daily peak toward 17–18°C. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily ahead of the final observational data from Congonhas or official stations used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 6?
16°C 35%
17°C 28%
18°C 14%
15°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
12%
16°C
35%
17°C
28%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 35%
17°C 28%
18°C 14%
15°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
$171 Wol.
4%
14°C
$103 Wol.
5%
15°C
$504 Wol.
12%
16°C
$315 Wol.
35%
17°C
$164 Wol.
28%
18°C
$232 Wol.
14%
19°C
$93 Wol.
4%
20°C
$64 Wol.
2%
21°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 15–17°C maximum in São Paulo on September 6, with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. Southerly flow behind the front is advecting cooler, moist air that increases cloud cover and precipitation, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping surface temperatures well below early-September climatological averages near 22–24°C. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble model runs show highs clustered in the 13–16°C range under persistent overcast and rain, though minor differences in frontal timing or residual mixing could push the daily peak toward 17–18°C. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily ahead of the final observational data from Congonhas or official stations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,647Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 15–17°C maximum in São Paulo on September 6, with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. Southerly flow behind the front is advecting cooler, moist air that increases cloud cover and precipitation, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping surface temperatures well below early-September climatological averages near 22–24°C. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble model runs show highs clustered in the 13–16°C range under persistent overcast and rain, though minor differences in frontal timing or residual mixing could push the daily peak toward 17–18°C. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily ahead of the final observational data from Congonhas or official stations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,647Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 15–17°C maximum in São Paulo on September 6, with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. Southerly flow behind the front is advecting cooler, moist air that increases cloud cover and precipitation, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping surface temperatures well below early-September climatological averages near 22–24°C. Official guidance from INMET and ensemble model runs show highs clustered in the 13–16°C range under persistent overcast and rain, though minor differences in frontal timing or residual mixing could push the daily peak toward 17–18°C. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily ahead of the final observational data from Congonhas or official stations used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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