Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 1, 2026
59°F or below
$18 Wol.
2%
60-61°F
$19 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$38 Wol.
14%
64-65°F
$87 Wol.
26%
66-67°F
$106 Wol.
33%
68-69°F
$302 Wol.
18%
70-71°F
$1 Wol.
6%
72-73°F
$655 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,020 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$316 Wol.
1%
78°F or higher
$140 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,702Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,702Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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