Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Incheon on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and light southeasterly flow that limits insolation while allowing modest warming. These conditions follow several days of easing heat-wave advisories across the Seoul metro region and align with late-August climatology, when average highs near 29–30°C amid transitional monsoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 30°C (followed by 29°C at 23.5% and 31°C at 16.5%), incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance and the low likelihood of significant clearing or stronger advection that could push extremes higher. New model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
30°C 44%
29°C 23%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
23%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 23%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
23%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for Incheon on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–90%, and light southeasterly flow that limits insolation while allowing modest warming. These conditions follow several days of easing heat-wave advisories across the Seoul metro region and align with late-August climatology, when average highs near 29–30°C amid transitional monsoon influences. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 30°C (followed by 29°C at 23.5% and 31°C at 16.5%), incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance and the low likelihood of significant clearing or stronger advection that could push extremes higher. New model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania