Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 21?
30°C or below 55%
31°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 8.5%
NOWE
$11,111 Wol.
NOWE
$11,111 Wol.
Jun 21, 2026
30°C or below
55%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
30°C or below 55%
31°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 8.5%
NOWE
$11,111 Wol.
NOWE
$11,111 Wol.
Jun 21, 2026
30°C or below
$2,567 Wol.
55%
31°C
$1,758 Wol.
21%
32°C
$1,925 Wol.
20%
33°C
$1,590 Wol.
9%
34°C
$791 Wol.
1%
35°C
$493 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$481 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$379 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$451 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$290 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$386 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,111Data zakończenia
Jun 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,111Data zakończenia
Jun 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a warm southerly flow over central Poland on June 21 that supports afternoon maximum temperatures of 29–32 °C in Warsaw, tempered by scattered thundery showers and associated cloud cover that cap extreme heating. This consensus, reinforced by recent GFS and regional model outputs showing modest instability and a modest dew-point surge, places the highest probability on outcomes at or below 31 °C. Historical June climatology for Warsaw averages near 23 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not record anomaly. Updated model guidance expected later today and tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective cells and the precise peak reading used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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