Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
37°C 41%
38°C 29%
39°C 13%
36°C or below 12.5%
NOWE
$25,434 Wol.
NOWE
$25,434 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
36°C or below
13%
37°C
41%
38°C
29%
39°C
13%
40°C
7%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 41%
38°C 29%
39°C 13%
36°C or below 12.5%
NOWE
$25,434 Wol.
NOWE
$25,434 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
36°C or below
$3,719 Wol.
13%
37°C
$5,249 Wol.
41%
38°C
$5,633 Wol.
29%
39°C
$3,440 Wol.
13%
40°C
$3,006 Wol.
7%
41°C
$2,076 Wol.
1%
42°C
$822 Wol.
<1%
43°C
$502 Wol.
<1%
44°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
45°C
$381 Wol.
<1%
46°C or higher
$375 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,434Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,434Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania