Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many jobs added in June?
How many jobs added in June?
50k – 100k 41%
100k – 150k 28%
200k+ 17%
<0 13.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 3, 2026
<0
13%
0 – 50k
31%
50k – 100k
41%
100k – 150k
47%
150k – 200k
11%
200k+
23%
50k – 100k 41%
100k – 150k 28%
200k+ 17%
<0 13.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 3, 2026
<0
$930 Wol.
13%
0 – 50k
$1,177 Wol.
31%
50k – 100k
$720 Wol.
41%
100k – 150k
$214 Wol.
47%
150k – 200k
$148 Wol.
11%
200k+
$74 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Rynek otwarty: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,263Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Wolumen
$3,263Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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