Jerome Powell’s statutory term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, providing the primary anchor for trader probabilities on any early exit from the Board. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell stated he intends to remain until an inspector general investigation into the central bank’s headquarters renovation project reaches full transparency and closure. This stance, amid ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration and Kevin Warsh’s appointment as the new chair, has kept market-implied odds for a 2026 departure relatively contained while assigning the bulk of probability mass to later dates. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, any public updates on the investigation, or congressional actions that could alter his timeline or incentives to depart sooner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$435,015 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
19%
$435,015 Wol.
December 31
$148,423 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s statutory term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, providing the primary anchor for trader probabilities on any early exit from the Board. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell stated he intends to remain until an inspector general investigation into the central bank’s headquarters renovation project reaches full transparency and closure. This stance, amid ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration and Kevin Warsh’s appointment as the new chair, has kept market-implied odds for a 2026 departure relatively contained while assigning the bulk of probability mass to later dates. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, any public updates on the investigation, or congressional actions that could alter his timeline or incentives to depart sooner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$435,015Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s statutory term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, providing the primary anchor for trader probabilities on any early exit from the Board. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell stated he intends to remain until an inspector general investigation into the central bank’s headquarters renovation project reaches full transparency and closure. This stance, amid ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration and Kevin Warsh’s appointment as the new chair, has kept market-implied odds for a 2026 departure relatively contained while assigning the bulk of probability mass to later dates. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, any public updates on the investigation, or congressional actions that could alter his timeline or incentives to depart sooner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$435,015Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s statutory term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, providing the primary anchor for trader probabilities on any early exit from the Board. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell stated he intends to remain until an inspector general investigation into the central bank’s headquarters renovation project reaches full transparency and closure. This stance, amid ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration and Kevin Warsh’s appointment as the new chair, has kept market-implied odds for a 2026 departure relatively contained while assigning the bulk of probability mass to later dates. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, any public updates on the investigation, or congressional actions that could alter his timeline or incentives to depart sooner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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