**Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 74% implied probability reflects the absence of any verified confirmation from Kylie Jenner or credible outlets as of mid-October 2026.** Recent viral "baby bump" photos circulating in early October were quickly identified as digitally altered or AI-edited versions of older images, with no independent authentication or statements from Jenner or Timothée Chalamet. Jenner addressed similar speculation directly in August on the Better Half podcast, noting she laughs off such narratives and has no plans for additional children in her 20s following her two kids with Travis Scott. Unverified reports from lower-tier sites claiming an Instagram announcement lack corroboration from major entertainment publications. The market favors "No" because confirmation requires an official statement or verified public reveal, which remains absent amid ongoing but unsubstantiated rumors.