Recent model consensus from sources including FMI-aligned forecasts and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 21 likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a weakening low-pressure system, decreasing southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and partial clearing that enables radiational cooling overnight. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, as persistent low stratus would limit surface cooling while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average near 8–9 °C, providing context for the close market-implied odds between outcomes around 9 °C and higher thresholds. Updated short-range model runs and official FMI briefings tonight will clarify whether the air mass modification supports a sub-9 °C reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 21?
14°C or higher 92%
9°C 54%
8°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
4°C or below
2%
5°C
4%
6°C
9%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
42%
10°C
14%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
92%
14°C or higher 92%
9°C 54%
8°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
5°C
$0 Wol.
4%
6°C
$0 Wol.
9%
7°C
$0 Wol.
39%
8°C
$0 Wol.
40%
9°C
$98 Wol.
42%
10°C
$98 Wol.
14%
11°C
$0 Wol.
37%
12°C
$0 Wol.
37%
13°C
$0 Wol.
5%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including FMI-aligned forecasts and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 21 likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a weakening low-pressure system, decreasing southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and partial clearing that enables radiational cooling overnight. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, as persistent low stratus would limit surface cooling while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average near 8–9 °C, providing context for the close market-implied odds between outcomes around 9 °C and higher thresholds. Updated short-range model runs and official FMI briefings tonight will clarify whether the air mass modification supports a sub-9 °C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including FMI-aligned forecasts and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 21 likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a weakening low-pressure system, decreasing southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and partial clearing that enables radiational cooling overnight. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, as persistent low stratus would limit surface cooling while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average near 8–9 °C, providing context for the close market-implied odds between outcomes around 9 °C and higher thresholds. Updated short-range model runs and official FMI briefings tonight will clarify whether the air mass modification supports a sub-9 °C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including FMI-aligned forecasts and international ensembles indicates a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 21 likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a weakening low-pressure system, decreasing southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and partial clearing that enables radiational cooling overnight. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers introduce the main uncertainty, as persistent low stratus would limit surface cooling while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range. Historical September minima average near 8–9 °C, providing context for the close market-implied odds between outcomes around 9 °C and higher thresholds. Updated short-range model runs and official FMI briefings tonight will clarify whether the air mass modification supports a sub-9 °C reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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