Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 10?
26°C 94.5%
25°C 4.2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
$53,833 Wol.
NOWE
$53,833 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
95%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 94.5%
25°C 4.2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
$53,833 Wol.
NOWE
$53,833 Wol.
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
$1,588 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,524 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,073 Wol.
1%
24°C
$2,568 Wol.
1%
25°C
$4,032 Wol.
4%
26°C
$6,060 Wol.
95%
27°C
$8,094 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$20,935 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$5,138 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,849 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$973 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,833Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,833Data zakończenia
Jul 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s summer monsoon conditions and persistently high humidity are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for July 10, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory’s normal-to-above-normal seasonal outlook and July climatology. Model consensus shows light winds and variable cloud cover that typically prevent sharp drops, with recent runs indicating only modest spread in the 25–29°C window. Slight differences among the tightly bunched leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as nocturnal cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, or any weak disturbance that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. No major typhoon signals or abrupt pattern shifts appear in the short-term guidance, keeping trader focus on these incremental meteorological variables ahead of the next model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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