Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 20?
22°C or below 48%
32°C or higher 42%
28°C 41%
26°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 20, 2026
22°C or below
48%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
21%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
16%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
42%
22°C or below 48%
32°C or higher 42%
28°C 41%
26°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 20, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Wol.
48%
23°C
$27 Wol.
29%
24°C
$27 Wol.
33%
25°C
$0 Wol.
21%
26°C
$5 Wol.
35%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$13 Wol.
35%
29°C
$0 Wol.
16%
30°C
$27 Wol.
1%
31°C
$27 Wol.
21%
32°C or higher
$22 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$174Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$174Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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