Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
27°C 47%
26°C 26%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
NOWE
$10,385 Wol.
NOWE
$10,385 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
13%
26°C
26%
27°C
47%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 26%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
NOWE
$10,385 Wol.
NOWE
$10,385 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
$221 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$121 Wol.
1%
24°C
$311 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$238 Wol.
13%
26°C
$189 Wol.
26%
27°C
$8,198 Wol.
47%
28°C
$106 Wol.
13%
29°C
$74 Wol.
5%
30°C
$221 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$193 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$517 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,385Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,385Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania