Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 29?
26°C 86%
25°C 13.3%
24°C 5.3%
29°C <1%
NOWE
$23,737 Wol.
NOWE
$23,737 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
79%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 86%
25°C 13.3%
24°C 5.3%
29°C <1%
NOWE
$23,737 Wol.
NOWE
$23,737 Wol.
Jun 29, 2026
22°C or below
$333 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$856 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,384 Wol.
5%
25°C
$1,707 Wol.
13%
26°C
$1,958 Wol.
79%
27°C
$5,526 Wol.
1%
28°C
$8,106 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,764 Wol.
1%
30°C
$1,182 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$682 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$238 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,737Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,737Data zakończenia
Jun 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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