Recent National Weather Service forecasts project Miami’s overnight low for August 19 near 80–81 °F under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and secondary support at 78–79 °F. Persistent warmth through mid-August, including recent overnight minima in the low 80s, reinforces trader consensus while acknowledging small upside risk if steering currents or moisture shifts allow slightly cooler air to arrive. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 19?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 14%
84-85°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 14%
84-85°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
$8 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Wol.
4%
72-73°F
$10 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
7%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
11%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
28%
80-81°F
$16 Wol.
42%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
14%
84-85°F
$10 Wol.
11%
86-87°F
$10 Wol.
7%
88°F or higher
$110 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project Miami’s overnight low for August 19 near 80–81 °F under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and secondary support at 78–79 °F. Persistent warmth through mid-August, including recent overnight minima in the low 80s, reinforces trader consensus while acknowledging small upside risk if steering currents or moisture shifts allow slightly cooler air to arrive. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$169Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project Miami’s overnight low for August 19 near 80–81 °F under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and secondary support at 78–79 °F. Persistent warmth through mid-August, including recent overnight minima in the low 80s, reinforces trader consensus while acknowledging small upside risk if steering currents or moisture shifts allow slightly cooler air to arrive. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$169Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts project Miami’s overnight low for August 19 near 80–81 °F under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with the market’s leading 40.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and secondary support at 78–79 °F. Persistent warmth through mid-August, including recent overnight minima in the low 80s, reinforces trader consensus while acknowledging small upside risk if steering currents or moisture shifts allow slightly cooler air to arrive. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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