**Current forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and Open-Meteo data, indicate a minimum temperature in Milan of approximately 11–13°C on October 13, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1027–1030 hPa.** This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21°C, with hourly readings expected to bottom out near 11–12°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising. Trader consensus heavily favors 11°C at 95% implied probability because multiple authoritative runs align closely on this threshold, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions in the Po Valley where calm nights often produce lows in this narrow range. Lower outcomes below 10°C carry minimal odds (under 1% combined) due to the absence of cold-air advection or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. The primary near-term uncertainty stems from minor variations in cloud cover or local urban heat-island effects at official stations, which could nudge the exact recorded minimum by 1–2°C; updated model runs or official observations from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service would be the key data points capable of shifting positioning before resolution.
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