Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight period on September 30–October 1 under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, supporting minimum temperatures in the mid-60s °F across Central Park and surrounding stations. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–65 °F or 66–67 °F buckets. However, subtle differences in forecast low-level moisture, wind speeds, and the timing of any clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, keeping the full range of 60–70 °F outcomes competitive. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and any NWS forecast updates that could tighten or widen the expected overnight cooling.