Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 29?
16°C 36%
17°C 23%
15°C 22%
14°C or below 10.1%
$12,522 Wol.
$12,522 Wol.
14°C or below
10%
15°C
22%
16°C
36%
17°C
23%
18°C
9%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 36%
17°C 23%
15°C 22%
14°C or below 10.1%
$12,522 Wol.
$12,522 Wol.
14°C or below
10%
15°C
22%
16°C
36%
17°C
23%
18°C
9%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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