Short-term forecast uncertainty between two closely matched model clusters explains the near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and sub-10°C outcomes for Toronto’s overnight low on September 10. Ensemble guidance shows a possible cold-air advection behind a weak frontal passage versus persistent southerly flow under clearer skies that would favor stronger radiational cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud deck, boundary-layer moisture, and 10-meter wind speeds, all of which can shift minimum temperatures by 4–6 °C. Canadian and U.S. global models are scheduled to update within the next 12–24 hours, likely tightening the range before the market resolves. Historical early-September climatology places Toronto’s typical overnight low near 13 °C, underscoring how modest synoptic deviations can swing the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 10?
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 50%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
96%
10°C
37%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C or higher
50%
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 50%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
96%
10°C
$0 Wol.
37%
11°C
$0 Wol.
38%
12°C
$0 Wol.
38%
13°C
$0 Wol.
38%
14°C
$0 Wol.
38%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
21%
18°C
$0 Wol.
21%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty between two closely matched model clusters explains the near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and sub-10°C outcomes for Toronto’s overnight low on September 10. Ensemble guidance shows a possible cold-air advection behind a weak frontal passage versus persistent southerly flow under clearer skies that would favor stronger radiational cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud deck, boundary-layer moisture, and 10-meter wind speeds, all of which can shift minimum temperatures by 4–6 °C. Canadian and U.S. global models are scheduled to update within the next 12–24 hours, likely tightening the range before the market resolves. Historical early-September climatology places Toronto’s typical overnight low near 13 °C, underscoring how modest synoptic deviations can swing the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty between two closely matched model clusters explains the near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and sub-10°C outcomes for Toronto’s overnight low on September 10. Ensemble guidance shows a possible cold-air advection behind a weak frontal passage versus persistent southerly flow under clearer skies that would favor stronger radiational cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud deck, boundary-layer moisture, and 10-meter wind speeds, all of which can shift minimum temperatures by 4–6 °C. Canadian and U.S. global models are scheduled to update within the next 12–24 hours, likely tightening the range before the market resolves. Historical early-September climatology places Toronto’s typical overnight low near 13 °C, underscoring how modest synoptic deviations can swing the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty between two closely matched model clusters explains the near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and sub-10°C outcomes for Toronto’s overnight low on September 10. Ensemble guidance shows a possible cold-air advection behind a weak frontal passage versus persistent southerly flow under clearer skies that would favor stronger radiational cooling. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud deck, boundary-layer moisture, and 10-meter wind speeds, all of which can shift minimum temperatures by 4–6 °C. Canadian and U.S. global models are scheduled to update within the next 12–24 hours, likely tightening the range before the market resolves. Historical early-September climatology places Toronto’s typical overnight low near 13 °C, underscoring how modest synoptic deviations can swing the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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