Narendra Modi's third term as Prime Minister, secured after the 2024 general election, extends through the next scheduled Lok Sabha vote in 2029, with no constitutional term limits or scheduled mid-term elections creating pressure for early departure. Recent developments, including BJP gains in state-level contests and continued parliamentary activity through the 2026 monsoon session, have reinforced the party's dominant position and coalition management. Public appearances and policy statements through mid-August 2026 show no signs of resignation or removal proceedings. Traders price the low probability of an exit by year-end 2026 on this institutional timeline and absence of major destabilizing events, consistent with historical patterns of full-term service for incumbents with parliamentary majorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% szansa
$230,818 Wol.
$230,818 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$230,818 Wol.
$230,818 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as Prime Minister, secured after the 2024 general election, extends through the next scheduled Lok Sabha vote in 2029, with no constitutional term limits or scheduled mid-term elections creating pressure for early departure. Recent developments, including BJP gains in state-level contests and continued parliamentary activity through the 2026 monsoon session, have reinforced the party's dominant position and coalition management. Public appearances and policy statements through mid-August 2026 show no signs of resignation or removal proceedings. Traders price the low probability of an exit by year-end 2026 on this institutional timeline and absence of major destabilizing events, consistent with historical patterns of full-term service for incumbents with parliamentary majorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$230,818Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's third term as Prime Minister, secured after the 2024 general election, extends through the next scheduled Lok Sabha vote in 2029, with no constitutional term limits or scheduled mid-term elections creating pressure for early departure. Recent developments, including BJP gains in state-level contests and continued parliamentary activity through the 2026 monsoon session, have reinforced the party's dominant position and coalition management. Public appearances and policy statements through mid-August 2026 show no signs of resignation or removal proceedings. Traders price the low probability of an exit by year-end 2026 on this institutional timeline and absence of major destabilizing events, consistent with historical patterns of full-term service for incumbents with parliamentary majorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$230,818Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's third term as Prime Minister, secured after the 2024 general election, extends through the next scheduled Lok Sabha vote in 2029, with no constitutional term limits or scheduled mid-term elections creating pressure for early departure. Recent developments, including BJP gains in state-level contests and continued parliamentary activity through the 2026 monsoon session, have reinforced the party's dominant position and coalition management. Public appearances and policy statements through mid-August 2026 show no signs of resignation or removal proceedings. Traders price the low probability of an exit by year-end 2026 on this institutional timeline and absence of major destabilizing events, consistent with historical patterns of full-term service for incumbents with parliamentary majorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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