Microsoft shares closed at $501.02 on September 1 before easing intraday toward $494–497 on September 2 amid broader tech rotation and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.8%. Traders are weighing the July 29 fiscal Q4 beat—$90 billion revenue, 43% Azure growth, and $37 billion AI run-rate—against elevated $41 billion quarterly capex and revised calendar-2026 guidance of roughly $175 billion. Analyst upgrades, including a Bank of America $600 target, have supported sentiment, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of October earnings. The market-implied odds for a close above key thresholds on September 3 will hinge on any last-minute macro moves or sector flows rather than company-specific news.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$480
60%
$490
59%
$500
26%
$510
25%
$520
26%
$200 Wol.
$480
60%
$490
59%
$500
26%
$510
25%
$520
26%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares closed at $501.02 on September 1 before easing intraday toward $494–497 on September 2 amid broader tech rotation and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.8%. Traders are weighing the July 29 fiscal Q4 beat—$90 billion revenue, 43% Azure growth, and $37 billion AI run-rate—against elevated $41 billion quarterly capex and revised calendar-2026 guidance of roughly $175 billion. Analyst upgrades, including a Bank of America $600 target, have supported sentiment, while upcoming catalysts remain limited ahead of October earnings. The market-implied odds for a close above key thresholds on September 3 will hinge on any last-minute macro moves or sector flows rather than company-specific news.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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