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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

New Zealand Election: Turnout

icon for New Zealand Election: Turnout
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

New Zealand Election: Turnout

78-80% 37%

76-78% 30%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 4.2%

Polymarket

$19,972 Wol.

78-80% 37%

76-78% 30%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 4.2%

Polymarket

$19,972 Wol.

<76%

$1,049 Wol.

4%

76-78%

$4,194 Wol.

30%

78-80%

$7,253 Wol.

37%

80-82%

$5,375 Wol.

24%

82-84%

$1,293 Wol.

1%

84%+

$807 Wol.

3%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November features a tight contest between National-led and Labour-led blocs according to recent polling averages, with low government approval ratings and potential for high mobilization on both sides. Traders price the most likely turnout band at 78-80% because enrolment stands near 89% overall but drops sharply to 53% among 18-25-year-olds, while Māori roll participation—now at record levels—has historically produced lower turnout rates around 68-70%. Rule changes advancing the enrolment deadline to 25 October and shifting advance voting earlier introduce added uncertainty around special votes and youth participation. These structural factors, alongside ongoing enrolment drives and the prospect of close electorate and party-vote margins, anchor consensus probabilities near recent election averages without clear catalysts for substantial deviation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Wolumen
$19,972
Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November features a tight contest between National-led and Labour-led blocs according to recent polling averages, with low government approval ratings and potential for high mobilization on both sides. Traders price the most likely turnout band at 78-80% because enrolment stands near 89% overall but drops sharply to 53% among 18-25-year-olds, while Māori roll participation—now at record levels—has historically produced lower turnout rates around 68-70%. Rule changes advancing the enrolment deadline to 25 October and shifting advance voting earlier introduce added uncertainty around special votes and youth participation. These structural factors, alongside ongoing enrolment drives and the prospect of close electorate and party-vote margins, anchor consensus probabilities near recent election averages without clear catalysts for substantial deviation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Wolumen
$19,972
Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Często zadawane pytania

"New Zealand Election: Turnout" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "78-80%" z 37%, za nim "76-78%" z 30%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 37¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "New Zealand Election: Turnout" wygenerował $20K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 29, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "New Zealand Election: Turnout", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "New Zealand Election: Turnout" jest "78-80%" z 37%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "76-78%" z 30%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "New Zealand Election: Turnout" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.