Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour in a tight contest for first and second place under MMP rules, with party-vote averages hovering near 30 percent for each. Mixed August surveys—some giving Labour a narrow edge and others favoring National—have kept both as the only realistic contenders for the top two spots, while smaller parties trail well behind. Trader consensus assigns National the higher probability of finishing second, reflecting its position as the incumbent coalition leader amid ongoing adjustments in support for partners like NZ First. Labour’s positioning remains competitive but appears more variable across recent samples. No major late-breaking events have altered the overall structure in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,846 Wol.
$17,846 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
42%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,846 Wol.
$17,846 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$8,811 Wol.
53%
Labour Party
$4,789 Wol.
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Wol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Wol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Wol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Wol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour in a tight contest for first and second place under MMP rules, with party-vote averages hovering near 30 percent for each. Mixed August surveys—some giving Labour a narrow edge and others favoring National—have kept both as the only realistic contenders for the top two spots, while smaller parties trail well behind. Trader consensus assigns National the higher probability of finishing second, reflecting its position as the incumbent coalition leader amid ongoing adjustments in support for partners like NZ First. Labour’s positioning remains competitive but appears more variable across recent samples. No major late-breaking events have altered the overall structure in the past month.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,846Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour in a tight contest for first and second place under MMP rules, with party-vote averages hovering near 30 percent for each. Mixed August surveys—some giving Labour a narrow edge and others favoring National—have kept both as the only realistic contenders for the top two spots, while smaller parties trail well behind. Trader consensus assigns National the higher probability of finishing second, reflecting its position as the incumbent coalition leader amid ongoing adjustments in support for partners like NZ First. Labour’s positioning remains competitive but appears more variable across recent samples. No major late-breaking events have altered the overall structure in the past month.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$17,846Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour in a tight contest for first and second place under MMP rules, with party-vote averages hovering near 30 percent for each. Mixed August surveys—some giving Labour a narrow edge and others favoring National—have kept both as the only realistic contenders for the top two spots, while smaller parties trail well behind. Trader consensus assigns National the higher probability of finishing second, reflecting its position as the incumbent coalition leader amid ongoing adjustments in support for partners like NZ First. Labour’s positioning remains competitive but appears more variable across recent samples. No major late-breaking events have altered the overall structure in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
59%
Labour
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