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icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

100-119 83%

120-139 83%

140-159 83%

160-179 83%

Polymarket
NOWE

100-119 83%

120-139 83%

140-159 83%

160-179 83%

Polymarket
NOWE

<20

$10 Wol.

2%

20-39

$0 Wol.

47%

40-59

$0 Wol.

43%

60-79

$0 Wol.

42%

80-99

$0 Wol.

42%

100-119

$10 Wol.

83%

120-139

$10 Wol.

83%

140-159

$10 Wol.

83%

160-179

$10 Wol.

83%

180-199

$10 Wol.

83%

200+

$10 Wol.

83%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, enters the August 4-11 window with trader prices clustered tightly between 41% and 43% across most post-count ranges from 20 upward. This reflects limited visibility into his typical weekly social media cadence as a relatively new incumbent navigating routine governance, policy rollouts, and potential summer news developments. Recent late-July actions on housing trackers and labor contracts have not yet clarified patterns, while the absence of major scheduled events or crises leaves volume dependent on breaking developments. A surge in city-specific stories or official announcements could push activity higher and separate the higher buckets, whereas a quieter period would favor mid-range outcomes. The low price on under-20 posts underscores consensus against minimal engagement.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$70
Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, enters the August 4-11 window with trader prices clustered tightly between 41% and 43% across most post-count ranges from 20 upward. This reflects limited visibility into his typical weekly social media cadence as a relatively new incumbent navigating routine governance, policy rollouts, and potential summer news developments. Recent late-July actions on housing trackers and labor contracts have not yet clarified patterns, while the absence of major scheduled events or crises leaves volume dependent on breaking developments. A surge in city-specific stories or official announcements could push activity higher and separate the higher buckets, whereas a quieter period would favor mid-range outcomes. The low price on under-20 posts underscores consensus against minimal engagement.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$70
Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Często zadawane pytania

"NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 11 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "20-39" z 47%, za nim "40-59" z 43%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 47¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?", przeglądaj 11 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" jest "20-39" z 47%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "40-59" z 43%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.