All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups with narrow polling margins as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico holds a slim edge or tie over Republican Ken Paxton in recent surveys. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers by roughly two points on average. In Maine, Democrat Troy Jackson edges Republican incumbent Susan Collins by a comparable margin. These competitive dynamics, driven by open seats in Michigan and Texas plus Maine’s left-leaning electorate, produce closely matched probabilities across outcome combinations. Late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could separate the results before November 3. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single path clearly dominant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDems sweep 46%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 12.0%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
46%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
11%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
11%
Reps sweep
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
5%
Dems sweep 46%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 12.0%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 11%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$1,233 Wol.
46%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
$116 Wol.
12%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$157 Wol.
11%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
$169 Wol.
11%
Reps sweep
$131 Wol.
7%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$164 Wol.
7%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
$142 Wol.
6%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$102 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups with narrow polling margins as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico holds a slim edge or tie over Republican Ken Paxton in recent surveys. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers by roughly two points on average. In Maine, Democrat Troy Jackson edges Republican incumbent Susan Collins by a comparable margin. These competitive dynamics, driven by open seats in Michigan and Texas plus Maine’s left-leaning electorate, produce closely matched probabilities across outcome combinations. Late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could separate the results before November 3. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single path clearly dominant.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,214Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups with narrow polling margins as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico holds a slim edge or tie over Republican Ken Paxton in recent surveys. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers by roughly two points on average. In Maine, Democrat Troy Jackson edges Republican incumbent Susan Collins by a comparable margin. These competitive dynamics, driven by open seats in Michigan and Texas plus Maine’s left-leaning electorate, produce closely matched probabilities across outcome combinations. Late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could separate the results before November 3. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single path clearly dominant.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$2,214Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups with narrow polling margins as of mid-September. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico holds a slim edge or tie over Republican Ken Paxton in recent surveys. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers by roughly two points on average. In Maine, Democrat Troy Jackson edges Republican incumbent Susan Collins by a comparable margin. These competitive dynamics, driven by open seats in Michigan and Texas plus Maine’s left-leaning electorate, produce closely matched probabilities across outcome combinations. Late-cycle shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or national conditions could separate the results before November 3. Trader prices reflect this uncertainty, with no single path clearly dominant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania