The closely matched trader prices across turnout bins for South Carolina's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a solidly Republican contest. Recent polling shows the GOP nominee—emerging from the August 11 special primary and August 25 runoff after Lindsey Graham's death—holding a substantial lead over Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, which typically dampens overall engagement compared to more competitive races. Key variables include base mobilization on the Republican side, modest Democratic turnout in urban and coastal areas, and standard midterm patterns where participation often falls between presidential-year highs and off-year lows. Historical South Carolina general election totals provide the baseline, while factors such as early voting access, campaign spending, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could separate the leading 1.8M-2M and 2.2M+ ranges from lower options.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.8M-2M 44%
2M-2.2M 44%
1.6M-1.8M 43%
1.4M-1.6M 43%
<1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.6M
43%
1.6M-1.8M
43%
1.8M-2M
44%
2M-2.2M
44%
2.2M+
43%
1.8M-2M 44%
2M-2.2M 44%
1.6M-1.8M 43%
1.4M-1.6M 43%
<1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.6M
43%
1.6M-1.8M
43%
1.8M-2M
44%
2M-2.2M
44%
2.2M+
43%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader prices across turnout bins for South Carolina's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a solidly Republican contest. Recent polling shows the GOP nominee—emerging from the August 11 special primary and August 25 runoff after Lindsey Graham's death—holding a substantial lead over Democratic nominee Annie Andrews, which typically dampens overall engagement compared to more competitive races. Key variables include base mobilization on the Republican side, modest Democratic turnout in urban and coastal areas, and standard midterm patterns where participation often falls between presidential-year highs and off-year lows. Historical South Carolina general election totals provide the baseline, while factors such as early voting access, campaign spending, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could separate the leading 1.8M-2M and 2.2M+ ranges from lower options.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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