SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO price action, with shares trading near $115–$125 and a market capitalization of roughly $1.5 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for the September-end resolution. Starlink continues to drive the majority of revenue and profits, supported by record satellite deployments and expanding enterprise and government contracts, while launch margins and the xAI integration add longer-term optionality. With implied probabilities clustered tightly across brackets from below $1 trillion to above $2.25 trillion, positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term multiples compression, execution on Starship milestones, and broader equity-market volatility rather than any single catalyst. Key swing factors in the next eight weeks include quarterly subscriber updates, additional Starlink regulatory approvals, and potential share-lockup expirations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$2.25T+ 48%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
47%
$2.00-$2.25T
48%
$2.25T+
48%
<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$2.25T+ 48%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
$0 Wol.
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Wol.
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Wol.
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Wol.
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Wol.
47%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Wol.
48%
$2.25T+
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO price action, with shares trading near $115–$125 and a market capitalization of roughly $1.5 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for the September-end resolution. Starlink continues to drive the majority of revenue and profits, supported by record satellite deployments and expanding enterprise and government contracts, while launch margins and the xAI integration add longer-term optionality. With implied probabilities clustered tightly across brackets from below $1 trillion to above $2.25 trillion, positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term multiples compression, execution on Starship milestones, and broader equity-market volatility rather than any single catalyst. Key swing factors in the next eight weeks include quarterly subscriber updates, additional Starlink regulatory approvals, and potential share-lockup expirations.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO price action, with shares trading near $115–$125 and a market capitalization of roughly $1.5 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for the September-end resolution. Starlink continues to drive the majority of revenue and profits, supported by record satellite deployments and expanding enterprise and government contracts, while launch margins and the xAI integration add longer-term optionality. With implied probabilities clustered tightly across brackets from below $1 trillion to above $2.25 trillion, positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term multiples compression, execution on Starship milestones, and broader equity-market volatility rather than any single catalyst. Key swing factors in the next eight weeks include quarterly subscriber updates, additional Starlink regulatory approvals, and potential share-lockup expirations.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO price action, with shares trading near $115–$125 and a market capitalization of roughly $1.5 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for the September-end resolution. Starlink continues to drive the majority of revenue and profits, supported by record satellite deployments and expanding enterprise and government contracts, while launch margins and the xAI integration add longer-term optionality. With implied probabilities clustered tightly across brackets from below $1 trillion to above $2.25 trillion, positioning reflects uncertainty over near-term multiples compression, execution on Starship milestones, and broader equity-market volatility rather than any single catalyst. Key swing factors in the next eight weeks include quarterly subscriber updates, additional Starlink regulatory approvals, and potential share-lockup expirations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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