Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the broader economy, and the unpopular U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict that began in May. These factors have produced net approval readings near second-term lows across multiple trackers, with limited movement in the final weeks before June 19. The tight distribution across narrow outcome bands in the market reflects the absence of major new catalysts or polling shifts in the immediate term, leaving the precise daily reading highly sensitive to minor fluctuations in survey timing, sample composition, and question wording. Any late diplomatic developments or economic data releases within the resolution window could narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
42%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0+
42%
<38.0 42%
38.0–38.4 42%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.0–39.4 42%
<38.0
42%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
42%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0+
42%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the broader economy, and the unpopular U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict that began in May. These factors have produced net approval readings near second-term lows across multiple trackers, with limited movement in the final weeks before June 19. The tight distribution across narrow outcome bands in the market reflects the absence of major new catalysts or polling shifts in the immediate term, leaving the precise daily reading highly sensitive to minor fluctuations in survey timing, sample composition, and question wording. Any late diplomatic developments or economic data releases within the resolution window could narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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