Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid mixed Q2 2026 results, with revenue reaching a record $28.24 billion on strong vehicle deliveries exceeding 480,000 units, yet adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus estimates of $0.51 as gross margins contracted to 16.8%. The tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across $300–$320 buckets reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum, with traders weighing sustained production ramps and energy storage growth against operating expense pressures and macro sensitivity in EV demand. Key upcoming catalysts include potential product updates and broader equity market moves that could influence weekly closing levels around the current $310 area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano>$330 16%
$300-$305 13%
$305-$310 13%
$310-$315 12%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
9%
$295-$300
11%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
12%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
>$330 16%
$300-$305 13%
$305-$310 13%
$310-$315 12%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
9%
$295-$300
11%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
12%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid mixed Q2 2026 results, with revenue reaching a record $28.24 billion on strong vehicle deliveries exceeding 480,000 units, yet adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus estimates of $0.51 as gross margins contracted to 16.8%. The tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across $300–$320 buckets reflects uncertainty over near-term momentum, with traders weighing sustained production ramps and energy storage growth against operating expense pressures and macro sensitivity in EV demand. Key upcoming catalysts include potential product updates and broader equity market moves that could influence weekly closing levels around the current $310 area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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