Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party continues internal commission work on a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, yet the process has advanced only to preliminary reviews and consultations without reaching a parliamentary vote or referendum stage by mid-2026. President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of legal experts and subsequent reaffirmations have sustained party momentum, but opposition parties hold sufficient seats to block the 360-vote threshold needed for a public vote or the 400-vote supermajority for direct passage. Recent parliamentary reports frame a new constitution as a long-term objective rather than an imminent priority, leaving insufficient time for the required legislative steps and public campaign before year-end. Trader consensus at 78 percent against movement in 2026 reflects these procedural and political barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party continues internal commission work on a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, yet the process has advanced only to preliminary reviews and consultations without reaching a parliamentary vote or referendum stage by mid-2026. President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of legal experts and subsequent reaffirmations have sustained party momentum, but opposition parties hold sufficient seats to block the 360-vote threshold needed for a public vote or the 400-vote supermajority for direct passage. Recent parliamentary reports frame a new constitution as a long-term objective rather than an imminent priority, leaving insufficient time for the required legislative steps and public campaign before year-end. Trader consensus at 78 percent against movement in 2026 reflects these procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,631Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party continues internal commission work on a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, yet the process has advanced only to preliminary reviews and consultations without reaching a parliamentary vote or referendum stage by mid-2026. President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of legal experts and subsequent reaffirmations have sustained party momentum, but opposition parties hold sufficient seats to block the 360-vote threshold needed for a public vote or the 400-vote supermajority for direct passage. Recent parliamentary reports frame a new constitution as a long-term objective rather than an imminent priority, leaving insufficient time for the required legislative steps and public campaign before year-end. Trader consensus at 78 percent against movement in 2026 reflects these procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,631Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party continues internal commission work on a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 charter, yet the process has advanced only to preliminary reviews and consultations without reaching a parliamentary vote or referendum stage by mid-2026. President Erdoğan’s May 2025 appointment of legal experts and subsequent reaffirmations have sustained party momentum, but opposition parties hold sufficient seats to block the 360-vote threshold needed for a public vote or the 400-vote supermajority for direct passage. Recent parliamentary reports frame a new constitution as a long-term objective rather than an imminent priority, leaving insufficient time for the required legislative steps and public campaign before year-end. Trader consensus at 78 percent against movement in 2026 reflects these procedural and political barriers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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