U.S. officials have consistently prioritized a phased stabilization process under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, explicitly sidelining María Corina Machado from leadership recognition or key negotiations. President Trump has stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support and respect to govern, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has outlined sequenced steps focused on economic recovery and institutional talks without endorsing her immediate role. Recent U.S.-backed negotiations launched in August 2026 with alternative opposition figures, such as Dinorah Figuera, further signal this approach. With no formal acknowledgment through mid-2026 and ongoing exclusion of Machado's faction, traders see negligible near-term probability of recognition by year-end. A major diplomatic reversal, successful election roadmap advancing her position, or unforeseen crisis could still alter the trajectory before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano4% szansa
$179,084 Wol.
$179,084 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$179,084 Wol.
$179,084 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. officials have consistently prioritized a phased stabilization process under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, explicitly sidelining María Corina Machado from leadership recognition or key negotiations. President Trump has stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support and respect to govern, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has outlined sequenced steps focused on economic recovery and institutional talks without endorsing her immediate role. Recent U.S.-backed negotiations launched in August 2026 with alternative opposition figures, such as Dinorah Figuera, further signal this approach. With no formal acknowledgment through mid-2026 and ongoing exclusion of Machado's faction, traders see negligible near-term probability of recognition by year-end. A major diplomatic reversal, successful election roadmap advancing her position, or unforeseen crisis could still alter the trajectory before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$179,084Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. officials have consistently prioritized a phased stabilization process under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, explicitly sidelining María Corina Machado from leadership recognition or key negotiations. President Trump has stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support and respect to govern, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has outlined sequenced steps focused on economic recovery and institutional talks without endorsing her immediate role. Recent U.S.-backed negotiations launched in August 2026 with alternative opposition figures, such as Dinorah Figuera, further signal this approach. With no formal acknowledgment through mid-2026 and ongoing exclusion of Machado's faction, traders see negligible near-term probability of recognition by year-end. A major diplomatic reversal, successful election roadmap advancing her position, or unforeseen crisis could still alter the trajectory before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$179,084Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have consistently prioritized a phased stabilization process under acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 removal of Nicolás Maduro, explicitly sidelining María Corina Machado from leadership recognition or key negotiations. President Trump has stated that Machado lacks sufficient domestic support and respect to govern, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has outlined sequenced steps focused on economic recovery and institutional talks without endorsing her immediate role. Recent U.S.-backed negotiations launched in August 2026 with alternative opposition figures, such as Dinorah Figuera, further signal this approach. With no formal acknowledgment through mid-2026 and ongoing exclusion of Machado's faction, traders see negligible near-term probability of recognition by year-end. A major diplomatic reversal, successful election roadmap advancing her position, or unforeseen crisis could still alter the trajectory before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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