President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, concluding May 15, drove trader consensus to a 57% implied probability for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism from announced progress on trade stabilization without a formal deal. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer highlighted expectations for over $10 billion in Chinese purchases of American agricultural products and potential Boeing aircraft orders, building on the October 2025 truce extended amid February's Supreme Court ruling that reset some reciprocal tariffs lower. Ongoing frictions over Taiwan arms sales and rare earth exports temper enthusiasm, with bilateral negotiations now racing the deadline for any executive actions or joint statements to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$49,776 Wol.
$49,776 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$49,776 Wol.
$49,776 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, concluding May 15, drove trader consensus to a 57% implied probability for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism from announced progress on trade stabilization without a formal deal. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer highlighted expectations for over $10 billion in Chinese purchases of American agricultural products and potential Boeing aircraft orders, building on the October 2025 truce extended amid February's Supreme Court ruling that reset some reciprocal tariffs lower. Ongoing frictions over Taiwan arms sales and rare earth exports temper enthusiasm, with bilateral negotiations now racing the deadline for any executive actions or joint statements to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$49,776Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, concluding May 15, drove trader consensus to a 57% implied probability for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism from announced progress on trade stabilization without a formal deal. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer highlighted expectations for over $10 billion in Chinese purchases of American agricultural products and potential Boeing aircraft orders, building on the October 2025 truce extended amid February's Supreme Court ruling that reset some reciprocal tariffs lower. Ongoing frictions over Taiwan arms sales and rare earth exports temper enthusiasm, with bilateral negotiations now racing the deadline for any executive actions or joint statements to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$49,776Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing, concluding May 15, drove trader consensus to a 57% implied probability for a US-China tariff agreement by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism from announced progress on trade stabilization without a formal deal. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer highlighted expectations for over $10 billion in Chinese purchases of American agricultural products and potential Boeing aircraft orders, building on the October 2025 truce extended amid February's Supreme Court ruling that reset some reciprocal tariffs lower. Ongoing frictions over Taiwan arms sales and rare earth exports temper enthusiasm, with bilateral negotiations now racing the deadline for any executive actions or joint statements to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania