The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced specific commitments on Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, energy, and Boeing aircraft but no broad new tariff reduction agreement or formal trade framework. Ongoing talks center on extending existing truce mechanisms and establishing a managed trade board for non-sensitive goods, yet neither side has signaled imminent resolution of core tariff disputes or reciprocal cuts by the end of May. With the 90-day truce from prior Geneva discussions already in place and no scheduled follow-up announcements before the deadline, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a qualifying agreement materializing in the remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$67,068 Wol.
$67,068 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$67,068 Wol.
$67,068 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced specific commitments on Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, energy, and Boeing aircraft but no broad new tariff reduction agreement or formal trade framework. Ongoing talks center on extending existing truce mechanisms and establishing a managed trade board for non-sensitive goods, yet neither side has signaled imminent resolution of core tariff disputes or reciprocal cuts by the end of May. With the 90-day truce from prior Geneva discussions already in place and no scheduled follow-up announcements before the deadline, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a qualifying agreement materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$67,068Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced specific commitments on Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, energy, and Boeing aircraft but no broad new tariff reduction agreement or formal trade framework. Ongoing talks center on extending existing truce mechanisms and establishing a managed trade board for non-sensitive goods, yet neither side has signaled imminent resolution of core tariff disputes or reciprocal cuts by the end of May. With the 90-day truce from prior Geneva discussions already in place and no scheduled follow-up announcements before the deadline, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a qualifying agreement materializing in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$67,107Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced specific commitments on Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, energy, and Boeing aircraft but no broad new tariff reduction agreement or formal trade framework. Ongoing talks center on extending existing truce mechanisms and establishing a managed trade board for non-sensitive goods, yet neither side has signaled imminent resolution of core tariff disputes or reciprocal cuts by the end of May. With the 90-day truce from prior Geneva discussions already in place and no scheduled follow-up announcements before the deadline, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a qualifying agreement materializing in the remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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